Home > commodities, technical analysis > Technical action in Gold does not look good

Technical action in Gold does not look good

Gold has declined $100 or 7% at pixel time from its recent all-time high… even when the US Dollar is declining (correlation trade broken?)! I think it is primarily due to rising growth forecast for the global economy (read US economy).

Technically, the charts speaks for itself:

· Medium term trend seems intact on the 1-Year chart

· We are near strong support area at $1325

The 3-year chart, however is more interesting… gold is hanging to dear life with these support points:

· Green long-term trend line

· Green support line

· 100 day moving average

If the long-term trend line is successfully breached, then I think we will test 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the rise from $700-1425 at about $1150

Economics 101 aside, commodities as a store of value will only go higher in the long-term (> 5yrs) because the only solution to massive public and private sector debts is inflation.

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